TCU vs West Virginia Odds
The exciting Big 12 schedule continues with Wednesday night’s game between two teams with very different seasons in the conference.
TCU got back on track Saturday, handing No. 13 Kansas State its first Big 12 loss of the season. Senior forward Emmanuel Miller scored his second consecutive 20-point game to lead the Horned Frogs.
For West Virginia, this is a time of despair. The Mountaineers are still looking for their first win in the conference, sitting at 0-5 in the Big 12. They will look to use their home stadium advantage which ranks second in the country, according to Kinbaumto end this losing streak.
In order to determine if West Virginia can get back on track, let’s take a look at the odds and prediction for TCU vs. West Virginia.
After four closely contested games to open Big 12 play, TCU had a coming party by handing Kansas State its first loss in conference by 14 points.
TCU’s offense has found success by limiting turnover, creating second chances and getting to the free throw line.
The Horned Frogs are 40th nationally in turnover percentage, and they turn the ball over on just 16.3% of their possessions. Their ability to take care of basketball will be important against a Mountaineers defense that forces a turnover of 22% possessions.
In addition to not allowing West Virginia additional possessions from turnovers, TCU would create additional possessions for themselves on the glass. Horned frogs earn a second chance on 35.1% of properties, the 23rd highest percentage in the country.
That success would continue on the offensive glass against West Virginia allowing opponents to create second chances on 28.7% of possessions (182).
The final advantage of TCU’s offense is its ability to get to the free throw line against a struggling West Virginia team without fouling. The Horned Frogs generate 20.1% of their points from the charity tape, while West Virginia allows opponents to score 22.9% of their points from the tape, the 27th highest in the country.
Although this is an ideal low-buy spot as West Virginia plays desperately at home, TCU will have plenty of opportunities to find success on the offensive end.
Despite the offense ranking 20th nationally in modified efficiency, the Mountaineers still found themselves in a tie for last place in the Big 12. Part of that can be attributed to the 14th-toughest schedule in the nation, according to KenPom Components.
Offensively, West Virginia has been at its best this season when creating penetration and getting to the free throw line. The Mountaineers have the 20th highest free throw average in the country.
Unfortunately for them, TCU has been effective on defense with no hits this season. The Frogs only allowed opponents to score 16.7% of their total points from the charity bar.
Without an extra score from the line, the Mountaineers will struggle to get away from a TCU team that has proven to be able to withstand defensive pressure.
West Virginia vs TCU Betting Pick
West Virginia finds itself in a similar position as Texas Tech. Both are trying to defend their home court and correct a bad start in team play.
With that in mind, I would expect mountaineers to be favored on their home turf. While justified, I believe it provides an opportunity to invest in TCU in an area where it’s rare.
TCU is no stranger to hostile road environments, having already played Baylor and Texas on the road. The Horned Frogs went 1-1 in these contests, losing to Texas by just four.
That experience, along with the ability to take advantage of West Virginia’s weaknesses, makes this a great place to buy TCU despite the Mountaineers’ desperation.
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