College Football Predictions, Odds: Expert Pick for the Georgia vs. TCU National Championship Game

Only one game left in the 2022 season, and it will be played Monday night at SoFi Stadium. This is the number 1 place Georgia Bulldogthe defending champion, will be speaking on A Cinderella Story for the 2022 season, No. 3 TCU Horned Frogs, in the College Football Playoff National Championship

Georgia, who will be playing for their third national title over the past six seasons, should have been here. She was one of the preseason favorites to win the SEC title, make the CFP and possibly win the national title. On the other hand, TCU wasn’t supposed to be here. The Frogs went 5-7 last year and fired the winningest coach in program history, Gary Patterson. Preseason expectations weren’t high for this team either; Big 12 Media selected the Frogs to finish seventh under first-year head coach Sonny Dykes, who passed the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex out of contention. SMU to take over the job.

Instead, TCU reached the Big 12 Championship Game with an undefeated record and was selected to the CFP despite barely losing to Kansas State in that match. Then TCU found themselves up to more than a second-place finish Michigan in the Fiesta Bowl semi-finals, but knocked out the Wolverines anyway 51-45 to keep the Cinderella story going. Now, the frogs are getting another chance to shock the world.

Will TCU become the biggest surprise hero of the modern era? Will Georgia restore order and become the first program to win back-to-back national titles since then Alabama Did you do that in 2010 and 2011? We’ll find out on Monday night. For now, all we can do is speculate, so let’s speculate like crazy.

National Championship: (1) Georgia vs. (3) TCU

Featured game | Georgia Bulldogs vs. TCU Horned Frogs

spread: I can not lie. It’s scary to bet on TCU. There have been a few times this season when I’ve said to myself, “This is the time. This is the time when this magical journey ends. This is when we have to frog fade.” I’ve been wrong every time, and believe me, I’m not among the many people looking for reasons to write off TCU all season. I was high with the frogs coming into the season, and it wasn’t until after their hot start that my impression of the frogs improved.

But nobody saw This is amazing at. TCU playing spoiler in the Big 12? Definitely. But that’s as far as you’ll get, right? After a while, I told myself the Frogs could win the conference but lose a game or two along the way. So, now I’m a little shaky. From a pure power rating standpoint, Georgia is the smarter game at anything under two touchdowns, but TCU has defied the odds all season. I’m not ready to face them now.

However, there are still concerns about compatibility with TCU, and a lot of them will depend on putting Georgia tight end Darnell Washington. While NFL scouts salivate over what Washington could become as a pass rusher based on his size and athleticism, what he really is is a formidable blocker in the running game. It’s basically an extra tackle on Georgia’s rushing offense. TCU’s 3-3-5 defense deployments are more vulnerable to teams that run two tight sets from the end. If Georgia has Washington and Brock Powers available Monday, it will be a complex problem for Joe Gillespie and the TCU defense to solve. Michigan struggled after losing Luke Schoonmaker early in the Fiesta Bowl, already reduced to tight end spot.

On the flip side, this Georgia defense is nowhere near as dominant as last year’s team. This is especially true when it comes to the pursuit of a QB. TCU’s Max Duggan is often their own staunch enemy when taking sacks, but we’ve seen Georgia’s secondary struggle against good passing attacks this season. You may not own a TCU Ohio State Overall depth is at receiver, but Quentin Johnston, Dereus Davis, and Ty Barber are a solid trio. I don’t know that TCU’s defense has enough stopping points to win a game, but offensively the Frogs should be able to put up enough points to keep things respectable at the very least. Choose: TCU +12.5

sumFor years we’ve been told, “Defense wins championships.” It’s not true – at least not to the extent we might have thought. These days, having a great defense helps separate you from the pack, but having an elite offense is what wins championships. Just look at the national title winners in the CFP era. While last year’s Georgia team was known for world-class defense, it also ranked near or at the top of every meaningful statistic on offense. alabama, Clemson And LSU They’ve also won it all with teams full of first-round picks at quarterback and wide receiver. In 2014, Ohio State was demoted to a string third QB, but even Cardale Jones ended up in the NFL after being cornered by NFL talent on that offense.

Let’s also take a look at the championship matches during the qualifying period. Those eight title games averaged 64.5 points and only two finished with less than 60 total points. One was Alabama’s 26-23 overtime win over Georgia in 2018, and the other was Georgia’s 33-18 win over Alabama last season. Yes, Georgia played in both games, but if last year’s Crimson Tide receiver Jameson Williams hadn’t been hurt, this could have been a higher-scoring game.

If this game was a blast, it would probably end up below the total. We’ve seen Georgia jump out to a huge lead and sit on the ball a few times, but like I said earlier, I don’t think this is going to be a blast. It may not be as close as it was in the semi-finals, but I don’t think either team wins by less than 31 points, which makes it all the more attractive. Selectivity: more than 62.5

Who will win Georgia vs. TCU, and which side gets the difference over 50% of the time in the simulation? Visit SportsLine to find out – all from a proven computer model that has generated nearly $2,500 in profits over the past 6 seasons.

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