Yesterday we posted a story about Vitek Vanicek and the ridiculous New Jersey Devils winning streak. After that, in disagreementIan and I had a slight disagreement about how responsible Vanecek was for the Devils’ success. For the record, Ian was absolutely correct when he said that Vanecek is “backed without a doubt by a Devils team that is one of the best in the NHL early in the season.”
In response to our story, we received a type of feedback that I call “should who I stay.” This can apply to any player who has left Washington and continues to enjoy success. It is understandable to compare their performance to that of those they replace in Washington.
Let’s compare the old goalkeepers in Washington, Ilya Samsonov And the Vitek Vanishkto their new number one, Darcy Comber.
Winner: Vanesque. By a lot, obviously. It is part of Historically good team With a plentiful collection of hot and sexy young guys and also old ass Dougie Hamilton.
Meanwhile, Toronto’s attractive workhorse was Ilya Samsonov before he was injured on November 5. Kuemper has played the most matches with the worst record. Bad start for DK.
Well, he’s no Samsonov, though he may be back as early as next week. I want to note that Samsonov is still playing more technically than Vanicek, who has been sharing time with Mackenzie Blackwood and Akira Schmid, who has one of the best names in the NHL.
Winner: Kuemper, who played 14 league matches. He tied Boston’s Linus Allmark as the most-used goaltender in the league. Allmark has a narrow lead in minutes played because he is not pulled off as often.
by the percentage of savings
I think this is the most popular way of evaluating goalkeepers, which may be your first clue that I am once again making some stupid and cheeky detail about analysis.
Winner: Samsonov. But his shorter season might have made you raise an eyebrow. Hold on to that thought. At least we can agree that Kuemper is the worst by this metric. I mean, we don’t need approval; it’s the truth.
By goals against average
We don’t. GAA is not a keeper statistic; It’s a team statistic. Goalkeepers are responsible for stopping shots they face; They are not responsible for the number of shots they encounter. This is the part I was most unbearable about discording Donnybrook with Ian.
Winner: Hassett. Not up for discussion.
depending on the workload
Now things get interesting. Here’s how many expected goals each goalkeeper has conceded, using a Moneypuck account:
Winner: Kuemper. But I don’t know if winner is the right word. Kuemper faced more minutes and more shots than his peers. That’s very much the job of the teams playing in front of these goalkeepers. over here Heatmaps from HockeyViz Where opponents shoot every goalkeeper. Red means the opponent is shooting more from that location.
I freaked out when I saw this. Kuemper and Samsonov: Well, whatever, but Vanecek’s cool. His job is significantly easier than other NHL goaltenders – by 23 percentage points. This is a very easy task. He really won the lottery when he signed with the Devils.
In the context of
So here’s how many goals each goalkeeper has allowed beyond the number of goals we expected him to allow, Again using a Moneypuck account. Expected goals minus actual goals.
Fanesque: 0.4 (21 goals vs 21.4 expected)
Samsonov: 4.9 (17 goals vs. 21.9 expected)
Comber: 1.9 (36 goals on 37.9 expected goals)
Winner: Samsonov. Wow, dark horse. He has sired more injured man on the struggling team than Vanecek and Kuemper, and they are very close in the context of their workloads, with Kuemper getting the tight edge.
Vitek Vanecek has played the most games won, but he hasn’t won the most, if you notice my tedious drift. Darcy Comber has been playing well behind a team that has been struggling with goal support lately. And Ilya Samsonov really, really played before he got hurt, a characterization that applies to both this season and his career in general.
The goals remain vague.
Principal images: Elizabeth Kong/RMNB, Alan Dobbins/RMNB, Vitek Vanicek