Georgia vs Tennessee odds
No. 4 Tennessee welcomes Georgia to Thompson-Boling Arena Wednesday night for the SEC game before the Big 12/SEC Challenge this weekend.
The Volunteers rebounded from their losses to Kentucky with convincing wins over Mississippi State and LSU to enter this game at 16-3 on the season and 6-1 in the SEC.
Meanwhile, the Bulldogs fell in back-to-back league games to sit at 3-3 in conference action under new head coach Mike White.
And as long as the home team can avoid looking forward to Saturday’s game against No. 10-ranked Texas, I expect Tennessee’s great game to continue with another win here.
Most fans can live with a loss on the road to Kentucky, but a home defeat to Vanderbilt over the weekend hurt the momentum White was building in his debut season in Athens, Ga.
The Bulldogs got off to a great start in SEC play, winning three of their first four conference games against nationally ranked Auburn and both programs from Mississippi State.
Key to the early success was the effort on the defensive end of the floor, with White’s squad ranking inside the top 75 in AdjD (67), EFG% (43) and three-point shooting defense (12), according to Bartorvik. .com.
The Bulldogs were also perfect at home before losing to the Commodores, as they allowed 85 points. Hopefully White can get his program back on track, but this will be a tough test.
If you think Georgia played a great defense, you could argue that Tennessee has the best defensive unit in the country. It was what pushed the team to this point in the season.
The Volunteers rank first in the nation in AdjD, EFG%, and three-point defense, while also ranking in the top 10 in forcing turnovers (9) and two-point shooting for opponents (10). They’ve held five of seven SEC foes to under 60 points by an average of PPG.
Offense isn’t necessarily anything flashy, but Coach Rick Barnes’s team does a great job of breaking the offensive glass. Only Kentucky does a better job of securing offensive rebounds in the country.
Barnes has five players averaging double-doubles this season, with the group led by guard Santiago Viscovi’s 12.5 PPG. Depth on the roster is highlighted by a player like Zakai Ziegler who mainly comes off the bench averaging 10.9 PPG and 7.29 APG in team play.
Pick betting between Georgia and Tennessee
I’m always looking for ways to support Tennessee at home, especially when the last game at Thompson-Boling Arena was a rare loss for the Volunteers. However, there is a better way to play for the home team here than needing them to cover 16.5 points.
With that said, my best bet is for Georgia to fit into the 59 team, which I wouldn’t play under 58.
I outlined above how this has been a profitable bet in Tennessee games this season, but there are key similarities between the Bulldogs and other clubs that have struggled to score consistently against the Vols this year.
For starters, you have to avoid turning the ball over, which isn’t good for visitors who rank outside the top 270 in turnover percentage. Ole Miss (265), LSU (220) and South Carolina (239) combined average 17 turnovers per game against the Volunteers and all failed to reach 60 points.
The other key metric is how well he hits the ball, and the Bulldogs weren’t even in the top 250 in EFG% or 2-point%. Mississippi State and two of the conversion-prone teams above fall into this category, and Mississippi State University couldn’t get past 60 points on two attempts against Tennessee.
With neither Georgia nor Tennessee playing at much offensive pace, I don’t see the visitors being able to score consistently in this game.
pluck or pluck: Georgia Total U-59 Team (Play to 58)
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