WNBA betting choices and predictions urge you not to be deceived by the similar records of these two teams. The Lynx are the better team and they will prove it with victory and coverage tonight.
If your favorite basketball teams growing up were Pat Riley’s New York Knicks or Bad Boy Detroit Pistons, tonight’s WNBA game between the Minnesota Links and the Los Angeles Sparks is a must-watch. These difference are absolute bruises.
The stakes are high for Lynx versus Sparks, with both teams finding themselves outside looking into the deciding picture with single-digit games remaining on the table.
Our picks and expectations from the WNBA bring Minnesota to the fore in this old-school showdown.
Lynx vs Sparks odds
This probability tool represents The best possibilities available Each betting market has a regulated sports book.
The spread saw significant movement, with Los Angeles Sparks opening as a 1 point favourite but now listed as +1 dogs in most books. The total opened at 167.5 and saw a slight drop to 166.5.
Lynx vs Sparks predictions
The predictions were made on 7/31/2022 at 2:30 AM ET.
Click on each prediction to go to the full analysis.
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Lynx vs Sparks info
• Site: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California
• DateSunday, July 31, 2022
• warning: 7:00 p.m. Eastern time
• Television: NBA TV
Lynx vs Sparks betting preview
Lynx: Jessica Shepherd C (Possible).
sparks: Lexi Brown G (Doubtful).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Betting direction to know
Sparks are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games overall. find more WNBA Betting Trends Linux vs Sparks.
Lynx vs Sparks picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based on our analysis of streak and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite across all markets.
The Minnesota Lynx and Los Angeles Sparks are an uninspiring 5-5 in the last 10 games, but don’t let that fool you into thinking they’re an equal. In that 10-game span, Sparks’ best wins are against other .500 sub-teams, while Lynx can boast wins over Las Vegas Aces and Chicago Sky, two of the sub-teams. The best teams in the WNBA.
These two teams build their games inside out on both ends, but Lynx is more successful in actually doing so. Minnesota, which fits a team that values having paint above everything else, has the second-best rebound rate in the league. In theory, Sparks has the same goals, but its recovery ranks third among the worst.
Both are top 4 spots in the paint, but with Liz Cambage’s recent departure, there’s good reason to believe Sparks will see a significant drop in that area. LA forces a ton of twists and turns well (something Lynx is prone to) but that alone isn’t enough to tip the scales in their favour.
While Sparks seemingly finds ways to become more flammable on and off the field each week, Lynx has been quietly competitive. They’re 5-1 against spread in the last six games on the road, which contrasts with Sparks’ uninspiring 1-6 ATS record in the last seven games, all of which indicates that Minnesota pulled this game off.
Prove that streak now before it moves in favor of Minnesota more than it already is.
predictionLynx-1 (-110 in Bitway)
Covers basketball betting analysis
Over / Under Analysis
When I said these teams are old school, it was both a compliment and a criticism. They are physical, play hard in the basket, and Sylvia Fowles and Nika Ogomec are some of the best players to have ever done so.
However, they also leave a lot of points on the board with not wanting to shoot a competitive amount of 3 pointers, something that is likely to be exacerbated by playing with each other. In a normal match, both would dare their opponents to shoot a triple, but against each other, they would find few willing players.
Sparks shoots fewer triples than any other team in the WNBA and will shoot less against Minnesota if Lexie Brown isn’t doing well. Even if Brown were allowed to play at the last minute, shooters generate power through their legs, and an ankle that’s not at 100% will always be a hindrance.
Less spaced shooting means less space, and that plays right into the Lynx’s hands. If you can’t post Lynx outside, they will stop insulting you more often.
Both teams want to score in the paint as well as emphasize his guard, and given that these are not first-class fouls even in what they do well, this is likely a low-scoring game.
prediction: under 166.5 (-110 in Bitway)
Records can be deceptive. At 11-19, Lynx performed well below the points difference at -1.4 and has an expected win/loss record of 14-16.
Sparks are just the opposite, having an extra overall win over their expected net rating of 10th is more representative of their level of play than their 12-16 record.
Lynx has been pretty much the better of the two teams all season so even if they don’t play that way in the standings, notably identical to each other, their similar strengths and weaknesses point strongly to Lynx’s cover.
pick or pickLynx-1 (-110 in Bitway)
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