NCAAB Big East Betting Preview

Creighton vs. Georgetown Odds

I was going to start this breakdown by writing about why Georgetown’s Patrick Ewing is the worst coach in the entire country, but that would have been a waste of space because everyone already knows that.

Instead, I want to start by giving the team from Omaha its flowers. This Creighton Bluejays team is the real deal. Their entire act screams that a Deep March tour is coming up. In fact, I would go 40-1 to win it all Fandel Now because that number is going to keep crashing.

As we went into Milan on Wednesday night, Creighton pulled off an impressive home win over Xavier, while Georgetown blew another halftime lead and lost a narrow lead at St. John’s.

Is that a lot of points to put in with the Bluejays? Or will Georgetown’s underrated roster get the better of its incompetent coach? Let’s see if we can make a case for either.

I can’t stress enough that this might be the most underrated team in the entire country.

The Bluejays enter as the 11th best team in the country, according to KenPom. They are 17th in modified offensive efficiency, 21st in modified defensive efficiency and occupy the first third of the country in free throw percentage.

What I love most about this team is that every player starts with his average scoring average. Big man Ryan Kalkbrenner leads the team in scoring, followed by the Baylor Sherman electric transfer of South Dakota State.

If Sherman wasn’t enough, this backcourt is deep thanks to the contributions of Ryan Nimbard and Trey Alexander. As much as I joke about Georgetown, it’s somewhat menacing with its talent.

If this were any other team in the Big East, I think we could dumpster dive in support of the Hoyas here. However, I expect the Bluejays to stay hot here at home, especially with Georgetown ranking 264th in adjusted defensive efficiency.

It’s also worth noting that Greg McDermott gives the Jays the advantage here.

Raise your hand if you’ve backed a disappointing Hoyas team at any point this season. sigh. Well, I’ve supported Georgetown a few times this season, and that’s because I love some of their pieces on the menu.

Primo Spurs would be the talk of the country as one of the best goalkeepers if he wore any other uniform. Fellow backcourt Brandon Murray has had to carry the load at times this season, but they both make a really solid pair.

The problem here for Georgetown is everything else. I said I wasn’t going to attack Patrick Ewing in the entire article, but I can’t help but mention his name again. It is an essential part of this disability. If any other coach in the country had such a Hoyas roster combination, they would easily have 4-5 conference wins – far better than their current 1-10 record in Big East play.

The underlying metrics for Georgetown are no better. She ranks 218th nationally, per KenPom, and ranks just 230th in free throw percentage. This was a major concern for the Hoyas, as there have been several games this season where they lost simply due to their poor performance at the charity strip.

On the inside, Quds Wahab has shown flashes of being a huge, controlling guy, but I think he’s going to be full of Kalkbrenner in this match. If Wahab gets into foul trouble early on, this can get ugly very quickly.

Creighton vs. Georgetown Betting Pick

Even though Creighton is putting in an impressive home run, I still think we can squeeze some value out of this streak thanks to the Hoyas’ close loss to the Johnnies.

I’m going to keep gushing about this Creighton team, and I really think the market hasn’t really adjusted to how good it is.

We’ll put a high number, but given the opposition and the matches in play, I’m more than comfortable putting it up with the Bluejays here.

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