Rutgers vs. Iowa Odds
Rutgers And yeah They will meet for the second time this season after the hockey team won the first meeting in Piscataway 76-65.
The Scarlet Knights are looking to keep the momentum going after limiting Penn State’s offense to just 45 points in a 20-point win Tuesday.
The host Hawkeyes will be looking to bounce back after losing back-to-back games for only the second time this season. Ohio State and Michigan State, both on the road, were dropped off.
Overall, this is an interesting matchup between Iowa’s elite offense and a Rutgers defense that has been one of the best in the country.
To see which unit will outlast the other, let’s take a look at the odds and make a Rutgers vs. Iowa prediction.
Rutgers alone ranks second in the Big Ten standings on the back of its outstanding defensive production.
The Crimson Knights rank second nationally in modified defensive efficiency (86.4) by their ability to create pressure and protect the paint.
Rutgers only allows opponents to score 47.9% of their points from two-point range thanks to the pressure on the ball that he can create. The Scarlet Knights rank sixth nationally in steal percentage, at 14.3%.
Look at this 1v1 defense from Mawot Mag to finish the half. He shut down Bruce Thornton here and guarded Zed Key long in the second half. His 1-5 guard ability is key to Rutgers’ defense.
Swiss army knife. pic.twitter.com/BDulW65Rw8
– Jack Bisahha (@jackbis_5) January 16, 2023
This pressure on the ball will be crucial against an Iowa offense that thrives in halfcourt combinations. The Hawkeyes record 57.6% of their baskets from an assist, the 41st highest in the nation.
Look for Rutgers to disrupt the Iowa offense that is key to the Hawkeyes’ success.
Iowa and rookie forward Chris Murray were great on the offensive end. With Murray’s 20.6 points, Iowa developed the eighth highest modified offensive efficiency (117.2) in the nation and scored 80.7 points per game.
Iowa’s reliance on offensive production has been highlighted in its last two games. The Hockey averaged just 69 points in both their losses to Ohio State and Michigan State.
Trying to get back on track for offense against Rutgers is not a recipe for success.
In addition to this offensive inconsistency, the Hawkeyes struggled to string shortstops together on the defensive end. Iowa ranks 125th in modified defensive efficiency due to its inability to prevent teams from getting to the rim.
Iowa gives up 58.9% of its points inside, the 11th highest in college basketball.
This bodes well for Rutgers’ struggling outside offense, and as a result, has scored 56.6% of its points from two-point range.
The Crimson Knights shot just 31.5% from outside the arc, 297th nationally. Instead, Rutgers will look for 6-foot-11 Clifford Omoroyi at halfcourt.
Rutgers nearly pulled off the road fumbled against Ohio State
Big reason why? The Scarlet Knights shot 18-for-25 (72%) on the edge — a territory where OSU ranks 12th in defense (1.01 ppp)
Indoor success was led by Clifford Omoroi, who went 7-for-9 ATR@employee @employee pic.twitter.com/zM4RiPXwLw
– Shot_Quality December 9, 2022
Overall, look for Iowa to continue to come back down to earth against Rutgers’ top defense.
Rutgers vs. Iowa Betting Pick
This alignment between Rutgers and Iowa has all the ingredients for a classic Big Ten battle of rocks.
The Crimson Knights will bring an outstanding defense to Iowa City. In addition, they will match an Iowa team that has had some offensive declines in its last two games.
On the other hand, Rutgers will look at scoring with the shot clock to develop combos for Omoroii.
With that said, I think there’s value in the total being down to 138.5, especially given the recent form of this Hawkeyes offense.
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