Utah vs. Nevada odds
The Wolfpack will be looking to bounce back after losing their first conference game on Tuesday. Nevada lost by nine goals to San Diego State in a game in which they never led.
Meanwhile, Utah is 3-1 in conference, and its only loss comes to Boise State on the road. The Aggies were the best three-point shooting team in the country, but they struggled on defense.
Can Utah find success against a Nevada team that has held opponents to just 65 points per game? Let’s take a look at the odds and make a betting prediction.
The Aries have been silly about offense, not just from outside the arc, but from everywhere on the court. Utah hits a 56.7% effective field goal percentage, which ranks sixth in the nation. On the edge, the Aggies were almost as successful as they were from deep, hitting a 72.1% field goal percentage, which ranks at 96 percent.
The Aggies rarely turn the ball over, giving it away just 11.9 times per game. They were also elite when it came to hauling fouls, forcing opponents to commit 20.1 fouls per game.
On the defensive side of the ball, things are an entirely different story. Utah may know how to hit from the perimeter better than anyone else, but focusing more on defending the three can go a long way. The Aggies allowed opposing teams to shoot 34.9% from three-point range (283rd nationally).
And although they average 80.4 points per game, allowing teams to score 70.3 points per contest can be problematic if the opponent can control the pace and slow the game down.
Speaking of slowing down the game, Nevada plays the 5th slowest pace in the Mountain West and ranks 243rd in the country in modified cadence. The Wolfpack have yet to lose a conference game at home, with impressive wins over Boise State and Colorado.
The Wolfpack’s offense relies heavily on free throws, as they see 24.8% of their points come from charity tape. Utah averages 17.6 errors per game, but dwarfs that in conference play, hitting just 16.5 and holding opposing teams to just 12.5 free throw attempts per contest.
Nevada’s biggest concern is its defense. Yes, teams have only held it to 66 points in conference play, but when it comes to three-point defense, the Wolfpack has suffered greatly. Over their past five games, the Wolfpack has allowed opposing teams to reach 34.1% of depth.
This may sound strong at first, but none of their former opponents rank in the top 50 when it comes to three-point percentage. Facing the best three-point shooting team in the country could put Nevada in some serious trouble.
Nevada also doesn’t have anything close to the bench firepower that Utah prides itself on. The Wolfpack averages just 17.1 points per game off the bench while the Utah State bench averages 31.5 points on the season and 27.2 over its past five games.
Utah vs Nevada Bet Beck
The Aggies should be able to take advantage of a Nevada defense that has struggled to defend the perimeter. At the other extreme, I find it hard to see how Nevada State could achieve scoring success without its usual trips to the free throw line.
The Wolfpack will do everything they can to slow Utah’s offense, but I’m not sure it will be enough to keep this game close to the Mountain West’s most effective field goal percentage team.
Take whatever points you can get with the Aggies, but I think they have what it takes to win this outright.
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